Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 31.242505 35.990789 41.125053 47.077581 53.776653 61.070395 69.599981
2024-12-22 21.409417 27.553724 34.847045 44.087665 55.423112 68.810354 85.747221
2024-12-29 17.351131 24.360707 33.304925 45.427188 61.281275 81.148222 107.738982
2025-01-05 14.968755 22.594862 32.922957 47.706558 68.054596 94.768045 132.117823
2025-01-12 12.190298 19.697679 30.444802 46.619216 69.935541 101.846945 148.220572
2025-01-19 9.799371 16.896685 27.603395 44.488329 69.888069 105.993517 160.320072
2025-01-26 9.080130 16.505835 28.191716 47.321178 77.080839 120.655193 188.012135
2025-02-02 8.754010 16.675204 29.613078 51.491427 86.529506 139.150289 222.378881
2025-02-09 7.822450 15.664234 28.987688 52.300795 90.782846 150.112047 246.190486
2025-02-16 6.886570 14.492801 27.929275 52.238916 93.560200 158.896158 267.116331
2025-02-23 6.019619 13.308098 26.686417 51.692640 95.421107 166.260714 286.151559
2025-03-02 5.303669 12.299492 25.623801 51.316453 97.469309 173.962382 306.056627
2025-03-09 4.694215 11.454356 24.842151 51.512539 100.778463 184.376838 331.757478
2025-03-16 3.819502 9.903496 22.521845 48.638397 98.472185 185.362287 342.220603
2025-03-23 3.509559 9.544164 22.518413 50.174757 104.272754 200.564043 377.533963
2025-03-30 3.318281 9.424961 22.988887 52.678224 112.053682 219.691199 420.667246
2025-04-06 2.850138 8.545589 21.715805 51.494679 112.676519 226.072631 441.871030
2025-04-13 2.370491 7.534182 19.999262 49.168657 110.817836 227.748782 454.710987
2025-04-20 2.304338 7.607708 20.771146 52.261672 120.028116 250.457533 506.795614
2025-04-27 2.324244 7.923324 22.148732 56.811308 132.528760 280.035424 572.928376
2025-05-04 2.129443 7.588314 21.909586 57.693862 137.468662 295.446472 613.508279
2025-05-11 1.907216 7.125562 21.288934 57.626394 140.375827 307.059964 647.502579
2025-05-18 1.687031 6.619876 20.484931 57.030735 142.071454 316.344701 677.466210